{"id":435,"date":"2007-08-11T23:07:00","date_gmt":"2007-08-11T22:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.widmann.org.uk\/?p=435"},"modified":"2007-08-11T23:07:00","modified_gmt":"2007-08-11T22:07:00","slug":"big-snp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/big-snp\/","title":{"rendered":"Big SNP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a onblur=\"try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}\" href=\"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/uploaded_images\/SNP48-710694.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float:left; margin:0 10px 10px 0;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;\" src=\"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/uploaded_images\/SNP48-710691.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nA recent Scottish opinion poll gave the SNP <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ukpollingreport.co.uk\/blog\/archives\/1014\">a huge lead<\/a>: Tory 8%, Labour 32%, LibDem 8%, SNP 48%.<\/p>\n<p>They seem to have asked one general question rather than asking for constituency and list votes separately, so it&#8217;s hard to interpret.  (The results in May were Tory 17%, Labour 32%, LibDem 16%, SNP 33% for the constituency vote and Tory 14%, Labour 29%, LibDem 11%, SNP 31% for the list vote.)<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, if one puts these figures into both parts of the predictor at <a href=\"http:\/\/scotlandvotes.co.uk\/\">Scotland Votes<\/a>, one gets a very yellow map and a parliament with 69 members from the SNP, 43 from Labour, 8 from the LibDems and 7 from the Tories (65 seats are required to have a majority).<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m under no illusion that the results from the next election will be anything like that, but it&#8217;s going to get Labour very worried indeed, and it&#8217;s going to let the SNP have an easier time in parliament, given that none of the other parties will be interested in an early election!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A recent Scottish opinion poll gave the SNP a huge lead: Tory 8%, Labour 32%, LibDem 8%, SNP 48%. They seem to have asked one general question rather than asking for constituency and list votes separately, so it&#8217;s hard to interpret. (The results in May were Tory 17%, Labour 32%, LibDem 16%, SNP 33% for the constituency vote and Tory 14%, Labour 29%, LibDem 11%, SNP 31% for the list vote.) Anyway, if one puts these figures into both parts of the predictor at Scotland Votes, one [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[101,159,130,139],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election","category-en","category-politics","category-scotland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/435\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}