{"id":4884,"date":"2011-12-31T17:18:07","date_gmt":"2011-12-31T17:18:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.widmann.org.uk\/?p=4884"},"modified":"2011-12-31T17:18:07","modified_gmt":"2011-12-31T17:18:07","slug":"my-predictions-for-2011-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/my-predictions-for-2011-2\/","title":{"rendered":"My predictions for 2011 :-("},"content":{"rendered":"
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\nSad Face Cone Head Bath<\/a>
\nOriginally uploaded by Edgar Sousa<\/a>
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I’m afraid that my predictions for 2011<\/a> weren’t that great:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. There will be a general election in Denmark. The Social Democrats and SF<\/a> will form a minority government, which will quickly get into serious trouble trying to carry out their legislative programme.<\/i> Wrong<\/b>: After the election, the Social Liberals entered the government, too, and so far they’re managing to govern.<\/li>\n
  2. There won’t be a general election in the UK, but the LibDems will get more and more worried about their lack of support in the opinion polls.<\/i> Not right<\/b>: Of course there was no election, but the LibDems seem quite relaxed.<\/li>\n
  3. In Scotland, Labour will win the election but will be unable to find a coalition partner, so they’ll form a minority government.<\/i> Wrong<\/b>: The SNP won a landslide victory and formed a majority government. (I’m actually quite happy about being wrong here!)<\/li>\n
  4. The outcome of the AV referendum will be Yes (but it’ll be a narrow victory).<\/i> Wrong<\/b>: The outcome was a resounding No.<\/li>\n
  5. There’ll be snow on the ground in Scotland for most of the time until the end of March. We’ll then have a warm and sunny early summer, but late summer and autumn will be cold and wet, and we’ll have another white Christmas.<\/i> Almost right<\/b>: I got most of the year right, but Christmas wasn’t white.<\/li>\n
  6. Facebook will get serious competition, but they won’t be overtaken yet as the default social networking site.<\/i> Right<\/b>: Google+ got off to a good start, but didn’t manage to chuck Facebook off the throne.<\/li>\n
  7. The best-selling tablet computer towards the end of 2011 won’t be the iPad.<\/i> Wrong<\/b>: Although there are more and more competitors, the iPad still rules the tablet market.<\/li>\n
  8. Economically, Germany will start pulling the Eurozone out of the slump, but there’ll be more bad news from the US. There won’t be any sovereign defaults (yet).<\/i> Wrong-ish<\/b>: Germany was doing OK initially, but then ground to a halt again. The Eurozone is doing worse than a year ago. News from the US are mixed. But at least I was right about the sovereign defaults.<\/li>\n
  9. Petrol prices will reach \u00a31.50 per litre.<\/i> Wrong<\/b>: I think they got as high as \u00a31.45, but prices then fell back a bit again.<\/li>\n
  10. Neither Denmark nor Scotland will qualify for the 2012 UEFA European Football Championship<\/i>. Wrong<\/b>: Denmark managed to qualify, although Scotland didn’t.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    I think a lesson to learn from this is not to put so many different predictions into each item – it’s too likely to get half of it right, which makes it pretty hard to assess later.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Sad Face Cone Head Bath Originally uploaded by Edgar Sousa I’m afraid that my predictions for 2011 weren’t that great: There will be a general election in Denmark. The Social Democrats and SF will form a minority government, which will quickly get into serious trouble trying to carry out their legislative programme. Wrong: After the election, the Social Liberals entered the government, too, and so far they’re managing to govern. There won’t be a general election in the UK, but the LibDems will get more and more […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[159,130,150],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-en","category-politics","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4884","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4884"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4884\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4884"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4884"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/widmanniana.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4884"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}